03490ntm a22006137i 4500 000547782 CZ-PrVSE 20190212111559.0 ta 180915s2018 xr d frb 000 0 eng d JHD001 cze JHD001 JHD001 rda 510 MRF 519.226 MRF 519.21 MRF 330.4 czenas DIS34 Váchová, Lucie ISIS:58612 dis Kauzální bayesovské sítě : modelování dopadu intervencí v ekonomických modelech eng Causal Bayesian networks : Modelling an Impact of Interventions in Economic Models Lucie Váchová 2018 135 stran : ilustrace text txt rdacontent bez média n rdamedia svazek nc rdacarrier Vedoucí práce: Radim Jiroušek Disertační práce (Ph.D.)—Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze. Fakulta managementu, 2018 Obsahuje bibliografii Rok obhajoby 2018 The presented Thesis is focused on the identification of causal effects in causal models. Knowledge of causal relationships among variables allows the decision-maker to make predictions when interventions are employed. In the case of some unmeasurable variables being involved in the model, making predictions is complicated. But even in the presence of unmeasurable variables, the causal effect (an impact of an intervention) can be identified (provided that certain conditions are met).It is shown in the Thesis that, in the case that the structure of original model does not allow to infer the causal effect, certain alterations in the structure of the model can be applied in order to enable the causal effect identification. This problem is presented on a set of example economic models. These examples are created based on the idea of using such models as a support tool for decision-making - thus, in order to show the applicability of the presented approach, the selected set of example models is built with the aid of simulated data, and concrete causal effects are quantified. kauzalita ph138223 czenas Bayesova teorie ph135362 czenas teorie pravděpodobnosti ph116429 czenas matematická ekonomie ph122666 czenas management [obor disert. práce] disertace fd132024 czenas causality eczenas Bayesian theory eczenas probability theory eczenas mathematical economics eczenas dissertations eczenas Jiroušek, Radim mzk2003183297 ths Malá, Ivana, 1962- mzk2005282656 opn Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze. Fakulta managementu ko2002109809 dgg https://insis.vse.cz/zp/66402/podrobnosti VŠKP v InSIS https://insis.vse.cz/zp/66402 Hlavní práce https://insis.vse.cz/zp/66402/posudek/oponent/58467 Oponentura https://insis.vse.cz/zp/66402/posudek/oponent/58468 Oponentura https://insis.vse.cz/zp/66402/podrobnosti dc:identifier NEPOSILAT VSKP vse66402 180908 66402 HSTU1 DIS 34-V1 N:P 4202143262 20190306 DIS34 85 541 UEP01 BOOK Knihovna FM JH studovna I prezenční UEP01