03977ntm a22005297i 4500 000700194 CZ-PrVSE 20230618075638.0 m d cr n|||||||||| 230618s2023 xr fsbm 000 0 eng d NEZPRACOVANÝ IMPORT ABA006 cze ABA006 ABA006 rda Xu, Bingyan ISIS:153941 dis Koeficient závislosti produktivity vážene pracovní síly a jeho vliv na predikcní analýzu v České republice eng Productivity-Weighted Labor-Force Dependency Ratio and its Impact on Projection Analysis of the Czech Population / Bingyan Xu 2023 ?? stran : digital, PDF soubor Vedoucí práce: Georgi Burlakov Bakalářská práce (Bc.)—Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze. Národohospodářská fakulta, 2023 Obsahuje bibliografii Textový (vysokoškolská kvalifikační práce) Rok obhajoby 2023 The demographic situation in the Czech Republic is relatively stable, but the population continuing aging problem and the low fertility rates affect the demographic structure of the labor market. This thesis aims to explore whether these observed declining trends in the age and size of the Czech population should be considered as a restrictive factor for the economic development of the country in the long run. Or, they can well be compensated by the enhanced labor productivity as a result of the parallelly observed trends of increasing shares of the population with higher education actively participating in the labor force. The latter conjecture is taken as the main research hypothesis of the thesis. Respectively, it is aligned with the labor economics concepts of demographic transition, human capital, and labor force participation which as presented in the theoretical part all emphasize the importance of education and wide labor force inclusion of the population for the country’s economic development. The results of the descriptive analysis of EUROSTAT macro data for the Czech population in the period 2004-2021 are presented in a special section of the empirical part of the thesis based on which implications are made about the recent trends in the active labor participation share and education structure of the Czech population. Finally, time-series forecasting scenarios are developed based on extrapolation of the historical trends of three key demographic measures. On top of the conventional age-dependency ratio as a measure of the pure physical structural change in population size, also the basic and productivity-weighted labor force dependency ratios are estimated in line with a series of recent research papers on the topic. Způsob přístupu: Internet economics [obor bakal. práce] bakalářské práce fd132403 czenas bachelor's theses eczenas labor force participation productivity-weighted labor-force dependency ratio labor market forecasting demographic change population aging Burlakov, Georgi ISIS:106620 ths Krejčová, Nikola, 1974- hka2015862103 opn Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze. Národohospodářská fakulta kn20010709401 dgg https://insis.vse.cz/zp/84181/podrobnosti VŠKP v InSIS https://insis.vse.cz/zp/84181 Hlavní práce https://insis.vse.cz/zp/84181/posudek/vedouci Hodnocení vedoucího https://insis.vse.cz/zp/84181/posudek/oponent/79047 Oponentura https://insis.vse.cz/zp/84181/priloha/26197 Přiloha k práci https://insis.vse.cz/zp/84181/podrobnosti dc:identifier NEPOSILAT VSKP vse84181 230614 84181