03350ntm a22005057i 4500 000723450 CZ-PrVSE 20250614131007.0 m d cr n|||||||||| 250614s2025 xr fsbm 000 0 eng d NEZPRACOVANÝ IMPORT ABA006 cze ABA006 ABA006 rda Bednářová, Kristýna ISIS:169519 dis Benfordův zákon a statistické odhalování volebních podvodů eng Benford’s Law and the Statistical Detection of Election Fraud / Kristýna Bednářová 2025 ?? stran : digital, PDF soubor Vedoucí práce: Jana Cibulková Bakalářská práce (Bc.)—Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze. Fakulta informatiky a statistiky, 2025 Obsahuje bibliografii Textový (vysokoškolská kvalifikační práce) Rok obhajoby 2025 Elections worldwide are essential for democratic governance, but election fraud seriously threatens the integrity that underpins democratic societies. This thesis explores the applicability of Benford’s Law as a forensic tool for detecting anomalies in electoral data, a possible manifestation of election fraud, by introducing a novel, reproducible methodology, thoughtfully designed by the author through the integration of multiple established approaches. It combines compliance tests of the leading and last digits distributions according to Benford's law and other indicative measures. These include correlation of vote shares, turnout, and the share of valid votes, and the digital development pattern. The author was able to reach similar conclusions as prominent international organisations, such as the OSCE or the EU, by applying the proposed methodology to presidential elections with different political contexts: the Czech Republic (2023), the United States (2024), and Belarus (2020). While the Czech and U.S. elections showed no significant deviations from expected digit distribution patterns, the Belarusian data revealed multiple irregularities, particularly in the first and last digits of vote counts. This illustrates that statistical analysis of digit patterns can serve as a useful preliminary indicator of electoral manipulation. Způsob přístupu: Internet datové analýzy a modelování [obor bakal. práce] bakalářské práce fd132403 czenas bachelor's theses eczenas Benford's Law election fraud leading digit electoral integrity Cibulková, Jana ISIS:129091 ths Štěpánek, Lubomír ISIS:120809 opn Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze. Fakulta informatiky a statistiky kn20010709399 dgg https://insis.vse.cz/zp/89748/podrobnosti VŠKP v InSIS https://insis.vse.cz/zp/89748 Hlavní práce https://insis.vse.cz/zp/89748/posudek/vedouci Hodnocení vedoucího https://insis.vse.cz/zp/89748/posudek/oponent/86450 Oponentura https://insis.vse.cz/zp/89748/podrobnosti dc:identifier NEPOSILAT VSKP vse89748 250612 89748